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Forecast: Worst for Shore Will Come Daytime Sunday

Hurricane Center holds steady on track

As Shore residents dealt with a hurricane warning, and , a meteorologist has said the worst of Hurricane Irene's wrath will come during the day on Sunday.

The monster storm has weakened just a bit, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami. Its winds have decreased from 115 to 105 m.p.h., but forecasters are secure in its track that will eventually bring it to New Jersey. The hurricane center released an advisory at 11 a.m. Friday stating that computer models are now in "good agreement" on Irene's path.

"The worst of the impacts at the Jersey Shore are going to be from 6 a.m. Sunday to 6 p.m. Sunday," said Meteorologist Steve DiMartino, of NYNJPAWeather.com. "We're looking at a storm surge of anywhere from 4 to 8 feet everywhere along the New Jersey coast."

That storm surge – a wall of water the hurricane will push onshore – will be the primary driver of coastal flooding, DiMartino said. The storm surge, moreso than the wind, is a reason why residents of barrier islands should heed calls to evacuate.

"If you say, 'I'm not going to evacuate and I'll ride it out,' you better be prepared to move to a higher level," DiMartino said. "You are going to have water coming in to your home."

DiMartino said sustained winds will remain between 75 and 100 m.p.h. when the storm affects the region. But despite the fact that Irene will pack a strong punch, DiMartino is predicting that it will lessen in intensity by the time it reaches Ocean and Monmouth counties.

"The one positive is that, in theory, the hurricane will be weakening as it moves north," said DiMartino, noting that Cape May County will feel the brunt of Irene's power. "By 2 p.m. [Sunday], the hurricane will be north of [Ocean and Monmouth counties], and the winds will be coming out of the northwest. That will drive water out of the bays."

At 11 a.m. Friday, Irene was 630 miles south of Cape May, according to the National Weather Service office in Mount Holly. All of New Jersey's coastal counties remained under a Hurricane Warning, meaning that hurricane conditions were forecast within 36 hours.

The latest National Weather Service advisory called for 6 to 12 inches of rain across New Jersey's coastal areas.

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The following are suggested actions to be taken prior to arrival of a storm:

  • Check battery-powered equipment such as radios and flashlights. Buy extra batteries.
  • Secure outdoor objects that might become caught in the wind.
  • Keep your car fueled should evacuation be necessary. 
  • Be aware of where evacuation routes are located.
  • Stock up on non-perishable food items and water.
  • Stay tuned to a local radio or television station for the latest National Weather Service advisories as well as instructions from local officials.
  • Be familiar with the telephone number of your local Office of Emergency Management. The number for the Ocean County OEM is 732-341-3451.

Residents are urged not to enter flooded roadways.

Local emergency management officials have also provided a number of recommendations for emergency supply kits. The list of items to include is as follows:

  • Water, one gallon of water per person per day for at least three days, for drinking and sanitation
  • Food, at least a three-day supply of non-perishable food
  • Battery-powered or hand crank radio and a NOAA Weather Radio with tone alert and extra batteries for both
  • Flashlight and extra batteries
  • First aid kit
  • Whistle to signal for help
  • Dust mask, to help filter contaminated air and plastic sheeting and duct tape to shelter-in-place
  • Moist towelettes, garbage bags and plastic ties for personal sanitation
  • Wrench or pliers to turn off utilities
  • Can opener for food (if kit contains canned food)
  • Local maps
  • Cell phone with chargers

Additional items to consider adding to an Emergency Supply Kit:

  • Prescription medications and glasses
  • Infant formula and diapers
  • Pet food and extra water for your pet
  • Important family documents such as copies of insurance policies, identification and bank account records in a waterproof, portable container
  • Cash or traveler's checks and change
  • Emergency reference material such as a first aid book or information from www.ready.gov
  • Sleeping bag or warm blanket for each person. Consider additional bedding if you live in a cold-weather climate.
  • Complete change of clothing including a long sleeved shirt, long pants and sturdy shoes. Consider additional clothing if you live in a cold-weather climate.
  • Household chlorine bleach and medicine dropper – When diluted nine parts water to one part bleach, bleach can be used as a disinfectant. Or in an emergency, you can use it to treat water by using 16 drops of regular household liquid bleach per gallon of water. Do not use scented, color safe or bleaches with added cleaners.
  • Fire Extinguisher
  • Matches in a waterproof container
  • Feminine supplies and personal hygiene items
  • Mess kits, paper cups, plates and plastic utensils, paper towels
  • Paper and pencil
  • Books, games, puzzles or other activities for children

Check Patch.com for Hurricane Irene updates frequently throughout the weekend.

Melissa Thomson August 26, 2011 at 12:38 PM
And then pray.
C August 26, 2011 at 01:35 PM
Be prepared, pray, use common sense & leave the area.
Silver dollar August 26, 2011 at 02:42 PM
If you live on LBI and are reading this (GET OUT OF THERE ) PLEASE
lucy August 26, 2011 at 03:16 PM
I cant wait until this becomes the biggest storm flop in history, and all the nervous nancy's out there stop being so petrified over some rain and wind.
Mmmmmmmm August 26, 2011 at 03:26 PM
Find it interesting that no evac have been ordered for Barnegat Beach Island (Point south to Island Beach State Park.
Patricia A. Miller (Editor) August 26, 2011 at 03:37 PM
Hi Lucy, I hope it's a big flop!
Mark Story Jenks August 26, 2011 at 03:47 PM
It might be a good idea to take a lot of pictures of your house exterior now. Just in case you need before and after pics.
beaches August 26, 2011 at 03:49 PM
I hope its a flop too, nevertheless we are prepared as we can be.
J August 26, 2011 at 04:12 PM
Anyone know what neighborhoods are leaving?
BN August 26, 2011 at 04:58 PM
The Gov. ordered evacuation of ALL barrier islands in cape May, Atlantic, & Ocean. If one wants to argue semantics and call it a peninsula, so be it. You would think logic and common sense would have prevailed by now.
leann barling August 26, 2011 at 04:59 PM
Where can you take your pets if evacuation is ordered?
Phil August 26, 2011 at 05:05 PM
Can't find batteries anywhere...
read bull August 26, 2011 at 05:09 PM
I live right by Memorial HS - should I bail out? Thank you for any suggestions!
Stacy Q August 26, 2011 at 05:19 PM
A few years ago we had a freak wind storm that did a lot of damage all over NJ. My neighbor's shelter for his boat, which was heavily tethered to the ground, came loose in the wind and landed on my roof, ripping half of my roof off. The winds were 50 - 60 mph. The winds that they are calling for are 75 mph+ and included heavy rain. I would rather see people be "nervous nancy's" than be stuck without food, water and power and not be prepared!
Anita D. August 26, 2011 at 05:29 PM
Don not stay in a house close to the Ocean Gate wind turbine. There's a reasonable chance it will blow down in the storm. It should never have been built in the first place close to homes and town buildings.
Brickresident August 26, 2011 at 05:47 PM
it down graded to a cat 1. relax people.
Mark Story Jenks August 26, 2011 at 05:56 PM
Things are looking better.
C August 26, 2011 at 05:57 PM
We can only hope this becomes a flop. No one out there is being cautious for no reason.My 2 trees came down last month from that freak storm & the winds were not nearly hurricane strength.So, if in the end, all I am is a nervous nancy, what's the harm? I would love nothing more.
C August 26, 2011 at 06:01 PM
Check with your town. They will tell you which places to go that are pet friendly. Don't wait...call now.
C August 26, 2011 at 06:06 PM
Cammi- If in doubt, always use common sense & prepare to leave. Call the town now about shelters in Brick unless you have a place further inland to go It's not only the flooding but the high winds that cause damage. It looks like it could be dangerous this weekend so it's better to be safe than sorry later.
Rosalita August 26, 2011 at 06:25 PM
Didn't you just say that? It didn't make sense the first time you said it.
suz August 26, 2011 at 06:28 PM
Better??!! No electric for possibly one week and flooding? I sure don't think that is better. Just prepare for the worse and hope for the best....
BN August 26, 2011 at 06:42 PM
Barter with a neighbor...booze is like gold.
beaches August 26, 2011 at 07:16 PM
Definitely Sue!
C August 26, 2011 at 07:36 PM
What channel are you watching or listening to? Things are looking better? Where are you? Out in the Mid west somewhere? or maybe you made your plans for this weekend & that's why things are looking better.
1stcav August 26, 2011 at 08:25 PM
Lucy dis is your Ricky, your wrong !!!Lucy it's me what have you done to dis place ( after the storm ) it's differant , did Ethel help you ???Fred , I thought you were watching her when I was working, well she , she , Fred; ..I know, I know Lucy !!!!
Silver dollar August 26, 2011 at 11:07 PM
time to open the emeg access route through the power plant property for forked river beach home owners
clamdigger August 27, 2011 at 04:00 AM
keep this page handy; http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Brick&state=NJ&site=PHI&lat=40.0649&lon=-74.1174 you can change the zip code to find out what other areas are forecasted or expecting.
clamdigger August 27, 2011 at 04:20 AM
I don't want to burst anyone's bubble or give a false sense of security, this is Mother nature after all so things can change. Please use common sense and by all means do the right thing and keep yourself and loved ones safe and secure. Check that website often and use your best judgement
Linda Ann Sosa August 27, 2011 at 04:47 AM
I was told all human shelters will allow you to bring them as long as they are crated or leashed. You might want to have current shot/medical records for them too. Just don't leave them behind!

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