Internal Poll Shows Runyan Leads Adler by 16 Points
Adler campaign: race is still competitive
Staffers with Congressman Jon Runyan's re-election campaign touted an internal poll that gave the incumbent Republican a 16 point lead over Democratic challenger Shelley Adler, though the Adler campaign dismissed the poll as a "work of fiction."
The internal poll, conducted by private polling firm McLaughlin & Associates and released by the campaign Tuesday, shows Runyan topping Adler 51 percent to 34 percent, with Runyan receiving a quarter of the Democratic vote compared with Adler receiving just 8 percent of the Republican vote.
Runyan campaign spokesman Chris Russel said the congressman's support from several key labor unions helped boost his numbers with registered Democrats.
Adler's campaign disputed the poll.
"Those poll numbers are a work of fiction," Adler campaign spokesman Michael Muller told Patch.
Muller said the Adler campaign has not done any recent internal polling, but outside polls show the race is competitive and "we are within striking distance."
The national arm of the Democratic party identified the race as being potentially competitive early on, providing the Adler camp with an influx of funding through its "Red to Blue" program.
Adler recently began running television commercials themed around Runyan's former career as a professional football player. A new commercial titled "Free Agent" was released Tuesday, using the football theme to link Runyan to policies that lead to oursourcing.
Russel said in a statement that Adler's negative ads were "backfiring" and voters who counted "taxes, spending and debt" among their top issues favored the Republican by a 23 point margin.
Christine
7:40 am on Wednesday, September 26, 2012
I wish Mr. Runyan's campaign volunteers wouldn't call my house at 8:30pm.
Not So Dumb
9:23 am on Wednesday, September 26, 2012
What happens if I take an internal poll of the Congressman chances. Oh CRAP I don't work for the Congressman. Maybe an independent poll would work better.
Brick85
10:31 am on Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Runyan's voting record has shown that he is a follower who has no voice. He has spent the past two years voting every time with Republicans even when the vote was not good for his district here in NJ. If Runyan is re-elected we guarantee two more years of the same tainted, misguided, and lack of heart we have seen in a Boehner Congress. A true congressman is a Leader not a follower.
Frederick John LaVergne for Congress
9:44 am on Thursday, September 27, 2012
Present Congress and incumbent enjoy a 10% approval rating - no matter how you curve the grades on this, 10% is an utter failure, and, yet, so many want to repeat the same mistakes over and over.
Brick85 - on the money - leadership doesn't mean being a gear in the machine - and, remember, leadership is not management, either - different words, with their own places in the dictionary.
As to leadership - for example - What party is seeking in court to affirm application of Article the First? (known to have been ratified since 11/2011, and yet skillfully kept out of the news to prevent it having an influence in this election...we have to now go to the US Supreme Court to compel this)....Yup - Democratic-Republicans.
What party proposed and was first to sign (at People's Plaza in front of Independence Hall last weekend in Philadelphia) the "Change the Rules" Pledge?
foggyworld
1:29 pm on Thursday, March 21, 2013
It is really going to be a nose holding experience for people to re-elect another local Republican. Right now that incestuous group is focused on taking down the middle class for the benefit of themselves and the one percenters.
What has this chap done to distance himself from the ruling, unjust party?
And I'm not a Democrat but one fed up Independent who sees that We the People in need are receiving not even compassion from those on high.
bayway mike
1:14 pm on Wednesday, September 26, 2012
VOTE ALL IN(S)CUMBANTS OUT!!!
Martin
8:00 am on Thursday, September 27, 2012
GRIP = Get Rid of Incumbent Politicians.
foggyworld
1:30 pm on Thursday, March 21, 2013
Bingo, Bayway Mike!
tr
1:14 pm on Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Vote for Independant Rob Witterschein to replace Mr. Runyan . A local working guy, who knows local issues, and is not beholding to either of the two parties that are killing the local taxpayers. Real change for a change. Mr. Gilmore has asserted tooo much influence on us. Sorry George but, I choose to think for myself and go INDEPENDANT!!!!
Local
10:21 pm on Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Runyan equals OBSTRUCTIONIST ---- Ask him if he voted NO for the Veterans Jobs Bill, Voted NO for the President's jobs bill that would have PUT TEACHERS & POLICE BACK TO WORK.
It's a no brainer, VOTE ADLER.
Local
10:25 pm on Wednesday, September 26, 2012
If you receive Social Security you are receiving a hand out according to Romney, Ask Runyan if he also agrees that people on Social Security are VICTIMS and receiving HANDOUTS. He must respond to that before you vote if he doesn't then he agrees with Romney: SOCIAL SECURITY RECIPIENTS ARE RECEIVING WELFARE.
foggyworld
1:33 pm on Thursday, March 21, 2013
How is it welfare when we were forced to pay in to that plan that Lyndon Johnson started to rob a long, long time ago. Had our SS withholding been invested conservatively, the fund today would be whole.
Mr. Runyan needs glasses at the very least so he can pick up a history book and see just how very wrong he is.
Uncle Moe
10:26 pm on Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Runyan is another failure of the 2 party political machine. VOTE INDEPENDENT
Tom C
2:04 am on Thursday, September 27, 2012
Right again uncle moe. Are you on twitter? You should be.
I have spoken
12:23 am on Thursday, September 27, 2012
Come on, ever notice 99% of the time voting independent is clearly a wasted vote? Jon has done alot for the military. I've called his office several times for help and always got results. Shelly Adler is a hack attorney who just keeps raising the Cherry Hill taxes over and over again. Her Husband (Jon) is rolling in his grave.
JON RUNYAN 2012
Frederick John LaVergne for Congress
9:37 am on Thursday, September 27, 2012
Jon does not own a monopoly on supporting our troops, past or present.
foggyworld
1:35 pm on Thursday, March 21, 2013
If more people would snap out of it and vote Independently this nation might have a chance of getting out from under. Neither of the two major parties represent middle class America and we ought to vote accordingly to get them out.
Martin
8:01 am on Thursday, September 27, 2012
Runyon voted to kill Medicare
Frederick John LaVergne for Congress
9:30 am on Thursday, September 27, 2012
The party bosses call the plays, and he runs them. The reporter seems all in for Runyan, however. Ignoring the Democratic-Republican (new independent) party will not make them go away -
Frederick John LaVergne for Congress
9:30 am on Thursday, September 27, 2012
I say this because I listed 7 things we've done for you in this district, and it is still not showing up.
Frederick John LaVergne for Congress
9:35 am on Thursday, September 27, 2012
Will he sign the "Change the Rules" pledge? Will Adler?
Sick of the influence of corporations and special interests controlling YOUR elections? The Supreme Court decision in "Citizens United versus Federal Board of Elections" essentially emasculated McCain-Feingold campaign finance reform.
The "Change the Rules Pledge" uses the separation of powers in the Constitution to block influence-peddling, graft, and "pay-to-play". That's just ONE of the seven things I noted in the redacted post.
The Democratic-Republican Party has their own ballot line - we are an association of independent-minded candidates who believe in protecting and applying The Constitution of the United States, and that the Constitution is a bit in the mouth of the legislature, with the reins held by We, the People - twitched at the polls, as necessary.
We've been blacked out of the news here in in the APP - they will probably let this post stand, however.
Local
9:35 am on Thursday, September 27, 2012
Runyan & all Republicans think Social Security is Welfare, at least that's what their Presidential candidate Romney says, if they disagree with him they should say so NOW.
Local
10:09 am on Thursday, September 27, 2012
Runyan = Changing Medicare To Ryan's Vouchercare with Limits to Coverage.
Ben Dover
2:31 pm on Thursday, September 27, 2012
Did anyone see Bob Menendez's ads? fighting for the middle class?
NJ has 10% unemployment and the highest property taxes in the land. Our federal budget debt is $16 trillion and annual spending is $1.5 Trillion more a year than the revenues. Did you hear that, we spend ONE POINT FIVE TRILLION more than we take in.
Tell me exactly except making us poorer what Bobby is doing for us?
Ben Dover
2:33 pm on Thursday, September 27, 2012
Hi Tonto do you know your long lost friend Lizzie Warren?
You do know that Medicare and Medicaid spending is $900 B a year and the revenues to offset it is only $200 B a year. That leaves a BIG DEFICIT of $700 B a year for them. So you don't like Ryan's plan. What is your clown's plan to NOT SPEND $700 B a year we don't have????
Melinda
7:07 pm on Monday, October 1, 2012
Does anyone know if and when debates are scheduled between the two candidates?
Scott Neuman
11:04 am on Friday, October 5, 2012
I've known Frederick LaVergne for 20 years. I stand with him and recommend you give him your vote this year. Adler isn't going to win and will probably get a patronage job right after the election. Frederick is respected in the counties and is running as in Independent with the Democratic-Republicans, the original party of our county.
Frederick John LaVergne for Congress
1:22 pm on Wednesday, October 10, 2012
I would like to tell you that I spent yesterday afternoon with all of the Third District Congressional Candidates at the Asbury Park Press Editorial Board Review. I anxiously await their reporting of the event, as I came off very well - unless, of course, it is spun otherwise.
Again, Ms. Adler's entire message was that Mr. Runyan is a bad choice, the basis in most cases simply being that he is a Republican.
Mr. Runyan was reserved, and even a little circumspect. The closed mouth gathers no foot, as it is sometimes said. His two "advisors" - (yes, he had "advisors/handlers" at an editorial board meeting - although, to be fair, Ms. Adler's daughter was in attendance) - sat quietly in the back of the room - the young lady taking copious notes on her tablet pc.
Mr. Witterschien vehemently hammered home his position regarding the IRS.
Mr. Shapiro, who arrived a little late, spoke more about the need to return someone to the office in the model of Jim Saxton.
Ms. Adler often invoked her deceased husband, who voted against ACA, although she indicated otherwise.
Each candidate was given by me a DVD with the supporting documents for the Article the First Lawsuit, and, MORE IMPORTANTLY, the "Change the RULES" pledge, which blocks influence peddling using the "Rules of the House" and "Rules of the Senate". I signed this at the ceremony at Independence Mall in Philadelphia two weeks ago. The other two independents agreed to sign.
Frederick John LaVergne for Congress
1:22 pm on Wednesday, October 10, 2012
The editorial staff essentially brushed off the "Article the First" lawsuit, initially, but, as I applied the potential result, and explained the merits, it turned a few heads.
As to the "Change the Rules" pledge, neither Mr. Runyan nor Ms. Adler appeared to have any interest in it.
The undue influence of political contributions by businesses who do business with the Governement is one of the main reasons that our budget is so over-inflated. We overpay for EVERYTHING at the Federal, State, and even local level.
Mr. Runyan was heard to say "People don't really shop competitively for health insurance, do they?"
My response was "Maybe someone who makes what you do doesn't, but we shop competitively for milk in my home". That raise a little ire.
He also answered one way on the written questions on preserving Social Security, but another when asked the question directly by the interviewers. All in all, he came off "fair", to Ms. Adler's "poor", due to a mostly snarky disposition toward Mr. Runyan when answering almost any question.
If you were to ask the other two independents in the room who "won" - I think you might be surprised at the answer...but that won't be how the press will report it.
I cleaned both the major candidates' clocks - but you'll never hear it.
The greatest problem this district faces? Mr. Shapiro and Mr. Runyan agreed that it was jobs.
Frederick John LaVergne for Congress
1:23 pm on Wednesday, October 10, 2012
Ms. Adler felt it was keeping the JOINT BASE open...a "talking-point" she wanted to get across that she, too, was "for the military".
She also felt that she should be elected because she was the only female candidate, and that women are under-represented in Congress. On the second point, she is correct, but on the first?
My position is that you elect the best PERSON - and that sex has nothing to do with it. She certainly didn't oppose her husband serving.
Frederick John LaVergne for Congress
1:23 pm on Wednesday, October 10, 2012
Sound bites and talking points were rampant, but substance was lacking.
Our position was as follows...
There has been no Federal budget passed in over 1200 days...can we cut spending? Yes, but to know how much and where, we have to know what the budget actually is. We have no indications on "income" or "out-go". I was able to recommend specific policy changes that would result in less expense, and I also stated that my position on Social Security is that the creation of that program and the dollars collected for it are a public trust, and that it must be made a part of each year's budget, period. Like we folks who live in the real world, and actually "shop" for groceries "competitively", when preparing the Federal budget, decisions have to be made over "wants" and "needs". Funding Social Security is not an option, it is a mandate.
Frederick John LaVergne for Congress
1:24 pm on Wednesday, October 10, 2012
I did, however favor removal of the cap on income contributions (the point above which Social Security taxation is not applied), so that it continued proportionally for everyone. Wealthy folks won't like that, but the regular folks who have paid in for over 40 years should be able to expect "THEIR" social security to be there. You cannot effectively plan for retirement if the government keeps changing the game plan.
Mr. Runyan, however, favored raising the retirement age.
Ms. Adler felt that, above a certain income, the contribution should increase, but her solution left a gap in the requirement for participation between the present ceiling and her proposed point at which the contributions would again kick in. I would bet she "lives" in that gap.
Frederick John LaVergne for Congress
1:24 pm on Wednesday, October 10, 2012
We will have audio on the conference, as I have been told that it was recorded...should be interesting.
Frederick John LaVergne for Congress
1:25 pm on Wednesday, October 10, 2012
A few things to take with you from the above:
BOTH SIDES are responsible for the Gridlock that has prevented effective leadership in Congress for over a dozen years.
If you keep sending the same folks in, that will not change.
The solution to that lies before you - application of our Constitution. Article the First provides for no Congressional Districts larger than 50,000. Want to remove the road-block? Send 6000 people to Congress with an agenda of SERVICE, not BLIND PARTY LOYALTY.
My opponent has voted lock-step with the Republican Agenda, which is what his party "hired" him to do - but he promised to be an independent voice...he hasn't been. He runs the plays as called by the coaches, Norcross and Gilmore, who have created the illusion of two-party ONLY politics.
Spending and budget issues?
The solution lies in the "Change the Rules" pledge.
Want to back away from the fiscal cliff? Send fiscal conservatives to Washington. 700 B to create the new bureaucracy of ACA, rather than simply widen the aperture on Medicare, remove waste, and add wellness care, so that quality of life is also addressed, and preventive care, to reduce long-term expense? ACA is like running out of gas, and buying a new car instead of filling the tank on the old one, but continuing to insure the one you no longer drive.
Frederick John LaVergne for Congress
1:25 pm on Wednesday, October 10, 2012
Really want to remove the gridlock? Ballot Position reform, also.
We, the Democratic-Republicans, are working on ALL THREE.
Frederick John LaVergne for Congress
1:25 pm on Wednesday, October 10, 2012
Oh, and I have a solution, in part for the Medicare part D "donut hole" - which will cost you, the taxpayer, not one thin dime. I will be presenting it within the next 14 days.
Frederick John LaVergne for Congress
1:26 pm on Wednesday, October 10, 2012
"Stand for what's right, or settle for what's left" - Frederick John LaVergne, "Democratic-Republican" for Congress.
Local
2:04 pm on Wednesday, October 10, 2012
Send Obstructionists to Congress, Vote Republican. Runyon didn't support Vets Jobs Bill, Runyan wants to eliminate Seniors $600/yr prescription rebate. Runyon supports Ryan's turning Medicare into Vouchercare which limits Seniors Medical Care.